CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten on Wednesday laid out the uphill struggle that Democrats appear to face as they try to regain control of the Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.

“Democrats need a net gain of four Senate seats to regain control of the upper chamber in Congress and right now, the math, simply put, isn’t there for them. That is the picture. It’s a math problem,” Enten told “News Central” anchor John Berman, countering giddy predictions to emerge recently about Democrats flipping both the House and Senate thanks to a backlash to Donald Trump.

Pointing to a new New York Times/Siena poll, Enten noted that Democrats hold a 7-point lead in North Carolina, while the race in Texas is tied and contests in Iowa, Alaska, Ohio and even Maine remain close.

“On the mathematical march to four seats, there’s really only one seat at this point that Democrats look like they can count on,” Enten said.

“They will probably win one of these other seats,” he predicted. “But, again, that gets you only to two and you need four.”

“Look, Democrats have a shot here. There are seats on the table, but the fundamentals are against them,” he said.

Watch the full analysis here:

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