Argus

โ€ข

Jun 22, 2026

Sector(s)

Communication Services, Utilities, Technology, Industrials, Consumer Defensive

Summary

Last week was a short one, with markets closed on Friday for the Juneteenth holiday. For the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 both rose 1% and the Nasdaq rose 3%. Year to date, all three indices remain in positive territory, with the DJIA up 7%, the S&P up 10%, and the Nasdaq up 14%.  The earnings calendar is quiet as we are in-between reporting seasons. Still, there are a few headliners, including reports from Carnival, Micron Technology, and Darden Restaurants. The big banks, including JP Morgan, Citigroup, and Bank of America, kick off the next reporting season on July 14.  The economic calendar is light this week. On Thursday, new data will be released on Durable Goods, Personal Income, and the PCE Price Index. Turning to economic data, gas prices are still elevated but did drop 10 cents last week and are now at an average of $4.05 per gallon for regular gas. Elsewhere, the Atlanta Fed GDPNow forecasts GDP growth of 3.0% for 2Q, higher than the last read of 3.3%. The Cleveland Fed Inflation Nowcast calls for CPI of 4.01% June. Mortgage rates dropped five basis points last week, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage now at 6.47%, according to FreddieMac.  The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is on Wednesday, July 29, and odds are at 0% for a rate cut at that meeting. After that, the next meetings are on September 16, October 28, and December 9.  Taking a deeper dive into performance so far in 2026, a leading industrialized global stock market index, the ETF EFA, is up 8% year to date. The leading emerging market ETF (EEM) is up 29% year to date. U.S. growth stocks are up 3% year to date looking at ETF IWF, while value stocks (IWD) are up 14%. Crude oil prices continue to be volatile. On Friday, oil was down to $77 per barrel, bu

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