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XSD Delivers 1,138% in Ten Years, Yet Trails SOXX in the AI Boom
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The above button links to Coinbase. Yahoo Finance is not a broker-dealer or investment adviser and does not offer securities or cryptocurrencies for sale or facilitate trading. Coinbase pays us for certain activity generated through this link. Prices displayed are informational. The standard way to own semiconductors is to buy a cap-weighted fund and accept that NVIDIA, Broadcom, and TSMC will dominate the returns. SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (NYSEARCA:XSD) takes the opposite approach. It uses a modified equal-weight methodology against the S&P Semiconductor Select Industry Index, so a $200 billion analog chipmaker carries roughly the same portfolio influence as a $20 billion specialty designer. For investors who think the next leg of semiconductor returns will come from beyond the mega-caps, that structural choice is the entire pitch. XSD is a targeted sector sleeve, not a core holding. It owns 44 U.S.-listed semiconductor names with the top ten positions accounting for just 29% of assets and the largest single weight at 3% in Marvell Technology. Compare that to iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SOXX) or VanEck Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:SMH), where the top names alone can run 20% of the fund. The return engine is straightforward: cyclical earnings growth in chip designers and equipment makers, captured without the distortion of mega-cap concentration. No options overlay, no leverage. The expense ratio is 0.35%, the dividend yield is a token 0.65%, and the portfolio trades at a 23 P/E with a 4.12 price-to-book. Holdings span analog, power management, RF/mixed-signal, and specialty designs: Power Integrations, Cirrus Logic, ON Semiconductor, Lattice, Monolithic Power, and Analog Devices each sit within a tight around 3% band. The equal-weight design has paid off in the current cycle. XSD closed at almost $500, up 156% over one year and 55% year to date. The one-month gain alone was 50%, reflecting a sharp recovery after the March volatility episode that drove the VIX to almost 31 in late March. The ten-year return sits at 1,138%. The analyst who called NVIDIA in 2010 just named his top 10 stocks and SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF wasn't one of them. Get them here FREE. Strong numbers, but context matters. The five-year return of 186% trails what cap-weighted peers delivered over the same window, because equal weighting underweights the AI-era winners that drove SOXX and SMH. That is the bargain XSD asks investors to make: when leadership is narrow, this fund lags. When leadership broadens across analog, power, and specialty chips, as the Q1-to-Q4 2025 jump in durable goods manufacturing profits from $325.6 billion to $433.4 billion suggests is happening, the structure shines. Equal-weight is a factor bet, not a free lunch. Quarterly rebalancing trims winners and adds to laggards. In a cycle led by a single dominant name, XSD will underperform cap-weighted peers, and there is no way around that without changing what the fund is. Cyclicality is amplified. Mid-cap semis swing harder than the mega-cap names on inventory cycles and capex shifts. With the 10-year Treasury at 4.4%, in the 84th percentile of the past year, valuation multiples for these names face ongoing rate pressure. No diversification beyond chips. The fund is 100% semiconductors. It is a scalpel, and sizing it like a core holding will introduce volatility most retail portfolios are not built for. XSD fits as a 3% to 7% satellite position for investors who want semiconductor exposure without rolling the cycle on three mega-caps; the primary risk is that equal weighting structurally lags whenever the chip cycle is led by one or two dominant winners. This analyst's 2025 picks are up 106% on average. He just named his top 10 stocks to buy in 2026. Get them here FREE.
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