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UK now spends more on welfare than it earns in income tax — is America heading the same way?
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Moneywise and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue through links in the content below. In the last financial year, the UK government brought in £331 billion in income tax — and spent even more, £333 billion, on welfare, according to the Office for Budget Responsibility's latest economic and fiscal outlook (1). The news was first broken by The Telegraph (2), which noted that: "Put another way, the state is spending more on those not working than it raises from those who are" — however, the situation is more financially complex than a simple one-to-one relationship between inputs and outputs. Thanks to Jeff Bezos, you can now become a landlord for as little as $100 — and no, you don't have to deal with tenants or fix freezers. Here's how Dave Ramsey warns nearly 50% of Americans are making 1 big Social Security mistake — here’s how to fix it ASAP The IRS usually taxes gold as a collectible — but this little-known strategy lets you hold physical bullion tax-free. Get your free guide from Priority Gold Even so, this fiscal imbalance isn't a one-off. All told, the £333 billion welfare bill — or about $453.74 billion USD — amounts to 10.9% of Britain's total GDP. "The fiscal context is frightening," the Telegraph added, pointing to government debt hovering near 95% of GDP and the roughly £100 billion a year required to service it. And the pressure is only building. Welfare spending is projected to increase by the end of the decade, as labor force participation drops to a level not seen since the start of the pandemic. According to the Telegraph, around 55% of the working-age population is in full-time employment, while roughly nine million people are considered "economically inactive," compared to a population of 69.3 million as of mid-2024 (3). However, this phrase lumps together unemployed jobseekers with early retirees, unpaid caregivers, students and those unable to work due to illness or disability. By comparison, the national unemployment rate sat at 4.9% at the end of 2025, or about 3.4 million people using the mid-2024 figure. Still, the result is a system under strain from both sides: Fewer workers paying in and more people drawing support for longer periods, driven by an aging population and labor market changes. In its report, the OBR noted that "a further risk is the future costs of welfare spending" — with internal estimates projecting costs of £406.7 billion by fiscal year 2030-2031. The two main drivers of increases in welfare payments are an increasing number of state pensions and worsening health outcomes stemming from the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. For Americans, the numbers may sound distant, but the underlying forces are not. As U.S. deficits widen and entitlement costs climb, economists from the Council on Foreign Relations have begun warning about historic debt levels on this side of the Atlantic (4). "Unless appropriate legislative action is taken, many analysts say, the national debt will become unsustainable," the Council on Foreign Relations wrote on U.S. deficits and debt. In the U.S., much of that spending is tied to programs like Social Security and Medicare, which support retirees and older Americans (5). According to Congress, it makes up "the bulk of mandatory spending." That's without considering other necessary income-support programs, such as Supplemental Security Income, the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program or veterans' benefits. Plus, as the population ages and borrowing continues, the gap between what the government collects and what it owes is expected to widen. The Congressional Budget Office projects that the federal debt held by the public will climb from 98% of GDP in 2024 to 156% of GDP by 2055 (6). This will undoubtedly increase financial strain on future and current taxpayers. However, that strain won't be evenly distributed. Some states rely far more heavily on federal support than others, particularly in regions with lower incomes and weaker labor force participation. States like Mississippi, New Mexico and West Virginia consistently rank among the most dependent on federal aid (7). Whether or not the U.S. follows the same path as the U.K., households may feel the impact long before any policy changes are announced. The ripple effects tend to show up first in everyday life. That can mean higher taxes, rising costs and less room for error if your income suddenly drops. Read More: Robert Kiyosaki warned of a 'Greater Depression' — with millions of Americans going poor. Was he right? For households already feeling stretched, high-interest debt can quickly become harder to manage in such an environment. One way some homeowners can navigate that is by consolidating debt into lower-interest borrowing options tied to their home equity. If you have considerable equity in your home, you may consider consolidating your high-interest debt into a low-interest HELOC or home equity loan. Having access to your home equity could help to cover unexpected expenses, pay substantial debt, fund a major purchase like a home renovation or supplement income from your retirement nest egg. Rates on HELOCs are typically lower than APRs on credit cards and personal loans, making them an appealing option for homeowners with substantial equity. Unlock great low rates in minutes with Figure. You can fill out an application that's 100% online — no need to wait for an in-person appraisal. If you owe a substantial amount, you may also want to see if you qualify for a debt relief program to help clear a significant portion of your debt. With Freedom Debt Relief, you can speak with a certified debt relief consultant for free, who can show you how much you can save by partnering with them. If you're eligible, they can negotiate settlements with your creditors until all of your enrolled debt is resolved. With the debt piece of the puzzle solved, you can then tackle having a financial cushion that helps your household stay afloat. After all, relying on government payments during a health emergency could leave you in the lurch. That's one reason many financial advisors suggest having between three and six months' worth of emergency savings — with some even recommending a year's worth of funds. A high-yield account like a Wealthfront Cash Account can be a great place to grow your uninvested cash, offering both competitive interest rates and easy access to your money when you need it. A Wealthfront Cash Account currently offers a base APY of 3.30% through program banks, and new clients can get an extra 0.75% boost during their first three months on up to $150,000 for a total variable APY of 4.05%. That's ten times the national deposit savings rate, according to the FDIC's March report. Additionally, Wealthfront is offering new clients who enable direct deposit ($1,000/mo minimum) to their Cash Account and open and fund a new investment account an additional 0.25% APY increase with no expiration date or balance limit, meaning your APY could be as high as 4.30%. With no minimum balances or account fees, as well as 24/7 withdrawals and free domestic wire transfers, your funds remain accessible at all times. Plus, you get access to up to $8M FDIC Insurance eligibility through program banks. A good high-yield savings account protects your savings from inflationary value erosion, but over the long run, you're going to want to grow your money as well, so you're less reliant on the whims of government. The beauty of ETF investing is its accessibility — anyone, regardless of wealth, can take advantage of it. Even small amounts can grow over time with tools like Acorns, an app that automatically invests your spare change. For example, if your purchases average about $2 a day, that's roughly $60 a month invested without much thought. Over a year, that's $720, and those steady contributions compound into a much larger balance as time goes on. Signing up for Acorns takes just minutes: Link your cards, and Acorns will round up each purchase to the nearest dollar, investing the difference — your spare change — into a diversified portfolio. With Acorns, you can invest in a dividend ETF with as little as $5 — and, if you sign up today, Acorns will add a $20 bonus to help you begin your investment journey. All you have to do is set up a small recurring investment. The U.K.'s fiscal imbalance may be unfolding overseas, but the underlying pressures are not unique. As governments grapple with rising costs and slower growth, the responsibility to stay financially resilient is increasingly shifting to individuals. Whether that means reducing debt, building a cash buffer or investing for the future, the households that prepare early are often the ones best positioned to weather what comes next. Robert Kiyosaki says this 1 asset will surge 400% in a year and begs investors not to miss this ‘explosion’ No time to lower your crippling car insurance rate? Here’s how to do it within minutes — you could end up paying $29/month without a single phone call Millionaires under 43 are reshaping investing — just 25% of their portfolios are in stocks. Here’s where their money is going Vanguard’s outlook on U.S. stocks is raising alarm bells for retirees. Here’s why and how to protect yourself Join 250,000+ readers and get Moneywise’s best stories and exclusive interviews first — clear insights curated and delivered weekly. Subscribe now. We rely only on vetted sources and credible third-party reporting. For details, see our ethics and guidelines. Office for Budget Responsibility (1); The Telegraph (2); Reuters (3); Council on Foreign Relations (4); Congress.gov (5); Peter G. Peterson Foundation (6); MoneyGeek (7) This article provides information only and should not be construed as advice. It is provided without warranty of any kind.
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