Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Forecasts

Argus

•

Apr 02, 2026

Intermediate Term

Long Term

Summary

The stock market saw some upside follow-through on Wednesday, but finished off its intra-day highs. So we don't know whether the action was bullish, neutral, or bearish. Our intermediate-term technical indicators are all over the place -- which is what we would expect after the recent price action -- and we need more evidence to consider whether the worst is behind us or if we may see another leg lower. So far, today does not look good based on the premarket action.  The S&P 500 (SPX) finished with a respectable 0.7% rise on Wednesday, placing the two-day rate-of-change (ROC) at 3.7%. That's the best reading since May 13, 2025. At its intraday peak, the index was up 1.2%, and pushed right up to the falling 21-day exponential moving average (EMA) before running out of gas. It finished right at an initial 38.2% retracement of the decline. The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) rose 1.2% after being up 1.8% and peaking at the 21-day EMA. Both indices recaptured their 50-week average but remain below their 200-day.  The indices remain on intermediate-term (I.T.) sell signals, with the 10-week EMA below the 21-week EMA. Both the SPX and QQQ fell below their lower weekly Bollinger Bands last week, but might reverse that this week, which would be an I.T. buy signal. For confirmation, we'd like to see the indices break back above their middle bands, which sit near 6,790 for

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